Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002863 0.003067 0.003289 0.003550 0.003849 0.004186 0.004598
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002532 0.002801 0.003111 0.003500 0.003986 0.004586 0.005409
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002374 0.002694 0.003082 0.003598 0.004293 0.005235 0.006697
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002244 0.002598 0.003042 0.003664 0.004556 0.005876 0.008207
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002093 0.002455 0.002922 0.003598 0.004614 0.006224 0.009396
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001948 0.002305 0.002775 0.003470 0.004553 0.006359 0.010253
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001864 0.002228 0.002715 0.003459 0.004664 0.006805 0.012021
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001722 0.002063 0.002523 0.003229 0.004385 0.006476 0.011750
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001672 0.002020 0.002497 0.003248 0.004525 0.006981 0.014062
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001646 0.002007 0.002513 0.003331 0.004787 0.007814 0.018397
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001601 0.001965 0.002482 0.003336 0.004905 0.008375 0.022780
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001577 0.001952 0.002492 0.003407 0.005161 0.009371 0.032435
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001530 0.001906 0.002453 0.003398 0.005271 0.010083 0.045233
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001475 0.001844 0.002387 0.003337 0.005262 0.010466 0.059919
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001456 0.001835 0.002402 0.003420 0.005588 0.012134 0.168605
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001432 0.001817 0.002402 0.003478 0.005868 0.013929 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001387 0.001765 0.002343 0.003416 0.005850 0.014499 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001334 0.001699 0.002258 0.003299 0.005675 0.014257 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001305 0.001668 0.002229 0.003289 0.005770 0.015442 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001239 0.001579 0.002101 0.003078 0.005318 0.013548 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001220 0.001561 0.002091 0.003096 0.005472 0.015004 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001212 0.001561 0.002109 0.003172 0.005800 0.017942 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001193 0.001541 0.002092 0.003176 0.005931 0.019903 NaN